Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.867074 2.145242 2.454262 2.823636 3.253971 3.740479 4.333569
2025-04-20 1.484918 1.866462 2.333310 2.949496 3.745783 4.745975 6.106698
2025-04-27 1.234456 1.646676 2.184576 2.943696 3.996755 5.419566 7.510583
2025-05-04 1.096162 1.534786 2.138104 3.038018 4.362500 6.265557 9.252706
2025-05-11 0.969078 1.413309 2.052152 3.051080 4.597937 6.942092 10.839714
2025-05-18 0.868176 1.312451 1.977001 3.060700 4.817067 7.609897 12.503728
2025-05-25 0.763844 1.191415 1.853349 2.973389 4.863329 8.000108 13.761756
2025-06-01 0.704098 1.131570 1.815534 3.014826 5.119220 8.761109 15.767780
2025-06-08 0.658828 1.088984 1.798956 3.086580 5.431734 9.656220 18.155440
2025-06-15 0.608411 1.031627 1.750176 3.094222 5.627464 10.363054 20.295656
2025-06-22 0.552371 0.958335 1.665385 3.025435 5.670027 10.784225 21.930075
2025-06-29 0.508394 0.901650 1.603548 2.990630 5.770563 11.326971 23.900131
2025-07-06 0.454396 0.826235 1.508646 2.899445 5.785208 11.777060 25.939869
2025-07-13 0.431771 0.807632 1.519632 3.022825 6.268731 13.311959 30.827906
2025-07-20 0.397152 0.761532 1.471272 3.017122 6.475541 14.281261 34.602542
2025-07-27 0.377251 0.741746 1.472043 3.113988 6.923184 15.876548 40.319507
2025-08-03 0.351387 0.706723 1.437110 3.127405 7.181127 17.071419 45.286790
2025-08-10 0.327990 0.674059 1.402978 3.137286 7.431766 18.295060 50.645260
2025-08-17 0.298968 0.626192 1.330420 3.047609 7.422399 18.852100 54.228526
2025-08-24 0.283053 0.605063 1.314304 3.090168 7.756203 20.383551 61.156927
2025-08-31 0.270702 0.590457 1.311113 3.163868 8.184672 22.262046 69.709518
2025-09-07 0.254982 0.566481 1.283406 3.171717 8.436365 23.688728 77.189095
2025-09-14 0.235827 0.532550 1.228343 3.101064 8.457077 24.438858 82.562855